Are there only five red states left as Nate Silver would suggest?
That’s right: just five states, collectively containing about 2 percent of the American population, have statistically significant pluralities of adults identifying themselves as Republicans. These are the “Mormon Belt” states of Utah, Idaho and Wyoming, plus Nebraska, plus Alaska. By contrast, 35 states are plurality Democratic, and 10 states are too close to call.
Overstates the case somewhat, but by less than you’d expect. How much of it is real and how much of it is the bitter aftertaste of Bush in one’s mouth? Time will tell.